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Cash flow, inventory and reorders for a skincare brand

When your money goes out, when it comes back, how much stock to hold, and exactly when to reorder from Korea so you never run out. With formulas and a 13-week example.

Not financial adviceThis guide explains common methods and financing types. For loans, tax and accounting, talk to your accountant or a licensed advisor.
Short answer

A product brand pays for stock months before it is paid by customers: with KoreanOEM you pay a 50% deposit when you order and 50% before shipment, and a first order with a library formula usually reaches you about 6 to 8 weeks after the deposit by air, or about 9 to 12 weeks by sea. Plan cash for that gap plus freight, duty and launch marketing, then reorder when your stock falls to the reorder point: the demand you expect during the reorder lead time plus safety stock. Track weeks of cover every week, and place the next order before you think you need it.

Why product brands run short of cash

A profitable skincare brand can still run out of money. The reason is timing. You pay your manufacturer, your forwarder, customs and your warehouse before the first customer pays you, and when sales grow you have to pay for the next, bigger order while the last one is still selling. The time between paying for stock and getting the money back from customers is called the cash conversion cycle. The longer it is, the more cash you need to grow.

Three numbers decide how much cash you need: how much you pay before stock arrives, how many weeks pass until sales pay it back, and how early you must pay for the next order. This guide shows how to plan all three. For the cost side of each unit, see the pricing guide; for launch costs outside stock, what it costs to start a skincare line.

From deposit to cash back: the timeline

Here is when money moves on a first order with KoreanOEM using a library formula and a stock container, shipped by air to the US. Payment terms are the same for every order: a 50% deposit, 50% before shipment, by bank wire in USD or KRW. You never pay in full before you approve a pre-production sample.

  1. Sample stage (before the order).

    The sample box costs from USD 129 and ships in about 2 weeks, then 5 to 10 days by air. It is credited in full against your first production order. Custom formulas add a development fee (USD 399 per SKU for adjusted or fully custom), also credited.

  2. Week 0: deposit.

    You approve the sample and the written quote and pay 50%. Production starts after sample approval and takes about 4 to 5 weeks (4 to 6 with a custom formula). Stock packaging takes 1 to 2 weeks and runs alongside; custom packaging takes 4 to 6 weeks and can set the pace.

  3. Weeks 5 to 6: QC, documents and balance.

    Quality control and documents take about 1 week. You pay the other 50% before the goods leave, and you book freight from Incheon (prices are FOB Incheon).

  4. Weeks 6 to 8: freight, duty, receiving.

    Air freight takes 5 to 10 days, sea about 4 to 6 weeks. You pay freight, duty and customs broker fees around arrival, then your 3PL's receiving fee.

  5. Weeks 7 to 9 onward: sales and payouts.

    Your store, Amazon or TikTok Shop pays out on its own schedule, usually days to a couple of weeks after each sale. Wholesale accounts may pay 30 to 60 days after delivery.

  6. Cash back.

    You get your first-order cash back once the margin on units sold, after fulfillment and marketing, has covered the stock, freight, duty and launch spend. In the example below that takes about 15 to 16 weeks from the deposit.

Pre-orders can shorten the gap, but in the US the FTC's Mail, Internet, or Telephone Order Merchandise Rule requires you to ship within the time you state, or within 30 days if you state none, or else to notify buyers and offer a refund. Plan pre-order dates from the lead times below, not from hope.

Lead times from Korea

The lead time is the time from your order to stock you can sell. These are KoreanOEM's published lead times; your forwarder adds the door-to-door detail for your port.

StepTypical time at KoreanOEMWhat can make it longer
Written quote1 to 2 business daysUnusual formulas or packaging
First lab samplesAbout 2 to 4 weeks; revisions 10 to 14 days per roundMore revision rounds
Packaging1 to 2 weeks (stock), 4 to 6 weeks (custom)Custom decoration, new suppliers
ProductionAbout 4 to 5 weeks after sample approval (4 to 6 custom)Late artwork or label approval
QC and documentsAbout 1 weekExtra tests your market needs
Shipping5 to 10 days by air, 4 to 6 weeks by seaCustoms holds, port congestion, holidays
ReorderFaster than the first run, with no development stepA change to formula, label or packaging

Add your own steps on arrival: customs entry, delivery to the 3PL, and receiving, which some warehouses take several days to complete. For Amazon FBA add the time Amazon takes to make inbound stock available. When you plan a reorder, use the slow end of each range, then add a week.

Inventory terms: sell-through, weeks of cover, safety stock

TermFormulaExample
Sell-throughUnits sold in a period divided by units available at the start390 sold of 1,000 in 6 weeks = 39%
Weeks of coverUnits on hand divided by average weekly sales700 on hand at 80 a week = 8.75 weeks
Lead time demandAverage weekly sales times lead time in weeks90 a week for 7 weeks = 630 units
Safety stockZ times the standard deviation of weekly demand times the square root of the lead time in weeks1.65 x 20 x 2.65 = about 87 units
Reorder pointLead time demand plus safety stock630 + 87 = 717 units

Two terms in the safety stock formula need a plain explanation:

  • Standard deviation of weekly demand measures how much weekly sales swing. Put 8 to 12 weeks of sales into a spreadsheet and use the STDEV function. If you have no history yet, a rough start is a quarter of your average weekly sales.
  • Z is the service level factor: how often you accept a stockout during a reorder cycle. 1.28 covers about 90% of cycles, 1.65 about 95% and 2.05 about 98%. Higher is safer and ties up more cash.

The formula assumes the lead time is fixed. If your lead time varies a lot (a sea shipment that can take 4 or 7 weeks), add safety stock for the variation too, or simply plan with the longest lead time you have seen.

Skincare adds one more limit: shelf life. Stock you cannot sell before marketplaces reject it is not cover, it is a write-off. Walmart's fulfillment service, for example, treats items within 60 days of their expiration date as problem inventory, and Amazon has its own expiration rules for FBA. Order quantities you can sell well within the shelf life; see shelf life, PAO and preservatives.

The reorder point, step by step

  1. Measure weekly sales per SKU.

    Use units, not revenue, and separate each channel. A spike from one creator video is not your run rate.

  2. Write down your reorder lead time.

    From the day you approve the reorder to the day stock can ship to customers: production, QC, freight, customs and receiving. For a KoreanOEM reorder by air, about 6 to 7 weeks is a safe planning figure; by sea, plan 10 to 12 weeks.

  3. Calculate safety stock.

    Use the formula above. Round up.

  4. Set the reorder point.

    Lead time demand plus safety stock. When units on hand (plus any order already on the way) fall to that number, place the order.

  5. Decide the order quantity.

    Enough to cover the time until the following reorder, usually 12 to 26 weeks of sales, capped by shelf life, cash and storage cost. Check the next price break; at KoreanOEM the unit price is about 20% lower at 1,000 units, 35% at 3,000, 38% at 5,000 and 40% at 10,000 than at 500.

  6. Book it early.

    Send the reorder request a week before you hit the point if a holiday or peak is coming. Confirm label and packaging stock at the same time, because a missing label run delays the whole order.

  7. Review every week.

    Update weekly sales, weeks of cover and the reorder point every Monday. It takes 10 minutes in a spreadsheet.

Seasonality and peak planning

  • Fourth quarter. Black Friday, Cyber Monday and holiday gifting lift skincare sales in most Western markets. Stock for November has to leave Korea by early October at the latest by sea, and Amazon charges higher monthly storage fees from October to December, so send FBA stock close to the peak and keep the rest at your 3PL.
  • Marketplace events. Amazon's summer Prime Day and other platform sale days can multiply sales for a few days. Plan the extra units into your reorder, and do not count the spike in your normal weekly average.
  • Korean holidays. Factories, banks and logistics in Korea pause for Seollal (Lunar New Year, January or February) and Chuseok (September or early October). Expect several days of closure plus slower weeks around them. Ask us for the exact dates when you plan an order.
  • Season of the product. Sunscreen and oil-control products sell more in summer; rich creams and barrier care in winter. Hemispheres differ: Australia's summer is the US winter.
  • Freight peaks. Sea freight rates and transit times can rise before Western holidays and around Lunar New Year. Ask your forwarder before you plan.

Minimum order vs cash: how much to buy

A bigger run lowers the unit price but ties up more cash for longer. At KoreanOEM, 1,000 units cost about 1.6 times the cash of 500 units (twice the units at about 20% less each), and 3,000 units cost about 3.9 times the cash of 500 (six times the units at about 35% less). Freight per unit also falls as the shipment grows.

Choose the smaller run whenChoose the larger run when
The product is new and demand is a guessYou have at least 8 to 12 weeks of steady sales data
You launch several SKUs at onceOne hero SKU makes most of your sales
Your cash would fall below 3 months of fixed costsYou can pay for it and still keep a cash buffer
Shelf life or expiry rules limit how long you can sellYou will sell the units well within the shelf life
You may change the label or claims soonLabel, claims and packaging are final

A good pattern for a first order is the minimum run for each SKU, a reorder of the best seller at the next price break, and new SKUs only once the first line sells. Our post on low MOQ private label skincare covers minimums, and hero product strategy covers how many SKUs to launch.

Financing inventory

Most first runs are funded by the founder's own savings or pre-sales. Once you have sales history, more options open. We describe how each works; costs vary by lender and your history, so compare the total amount you repay, not only the headline rate.

OptionHow it worksWatch for
Pre-orders and crowdfundingCustomers pay before you produceShip dates you can keep; refund rules such as the FTC mail order rule
Bank loan or line of creditA bank lends against your business and often a personal guaranteeCollateral, time to approval
Government-backed small business loansIn the US, the SBA guarantees loans made by lenders, and its microloan program lends up to $50,000 through local nonprofit lendersPaperwork, eligibility
Inventory financingA lender advances money against the stock you buy or holdValuation of the stock, fees, storage requirements
Purchase order financingA lender pays the supplier for a confirmed customer orderUsually needs a creditworthy retail buyer
Shopify CapitalOffered by invitation in the Shopify admin. You receive a lump sum for a fixed fee and repay a set percentage of daily sales until the total is paid, with no fixed deadline (loans or cash advances depending on the country)The fixed fee is due however fast you repay
Amazon LendingEligible sellers see invitations from third-party lenders in Seller Central, with offer amounts, rates and termsRepayment from your Amazon payouts; terms per lender
Revenue-based financingA funder advances cash and takes a share of revenue until a fixed cap is repaidThe total cap, and how a slow month affects you

Do not borrow against an order you have not tested. Finance the reorder of a product that sells, not the first run of an idea. More ideas for a lean start are in starting a skincare line with no money.

Worked example: a 13-week cash flow

A 13-week cash flow lists every expected payment in and out, week by week, for one quarter. It shows your lowest cash point before you reach it. Here is an example for one 30 mL serum, 1,000 units, made by KoreanOEM from a library formula and shipped by air to a 3PL in the US. All amounts are our own rounded examples, not a quote, except the payment terms and the USD 150 MoCRA listing fee, which are KoreanOEM's.

Example assumptionsStarting cash $15,000. Product cost on the quote $4.00 per unit, so $4,000 (deposit $2,000, balance $2,000). Air freight and clearance $900. US duty 12.5% of the goods value, $500. Retail $38 on the brand's own store; payout after card fees $36.60 per unit, arriving the week after the sale. Per unit sold: $8.50 fulfillment and postage, $15 ads. 3PL storage and software $150 a week from arrival. Sales ramp from 40 to 90 units a week.
WeekWhat happensUnits soldCash inCash outClosing cash
1Deposit 50% ($2,000), MoCRA listing (USD 150)0$0$2,150$12,850
2 to 4Production0$0$0$12,850
5Creator samples and content0$0$300$12,550
6QC, balance 50% before shipment, content0$0$2,300$10,250
7Arrival: freight $900, duty $500, receiving $150, storage $150, content $3000$0$2,000$8,250
8Launch40$0$1,090$7,160
9First payout50$1,464$1,325$7,299
10Selling60$1,830$1,560$7,569
11Selling70$2,196$1,795$7,970
12Stock 700 falls below the reorder point (717): reorder 1,500 units, deposit $3,00080$2,562$5,030$5,502
13Selling; reorder in production90$2,928$2,265$6,165

What the example teaches:

  • $7,840 goes out before the first dollar comes in, eight weeks after the deposit. That is the minimum cash this launch needs, before any buffer.
  • The lowest point comes with the reorder, not the launch. In week 12 the brand pays a $3,000 deposit while the first stock is still selling. The $3,000 balance falls due around week 16 or 17, before the reorder arrives.
  • Reorder after only 5 weeks of sales. With a 7-week reorder lead time and sales of 90 a week, the reorder point is 717 units, so the brand orders when 700 of its 1,000 units are still in stock. Waiting for the shelf to look empty would mean several weeks with nothing to sell.
  • Cash back takes about 4 months. Each unit leaves $13.10 after payout, fulfillment and ads. It takes about 600 units to repay the $7,840 spent before launch, which at this pace is around week 15 or 16.
  • Ads are the biggest lever. At $10 instead of $15 per unit sold, the brand ends the quarter about $1,950 better off. Reviews, repeat buyers and organic content move this number most.

Build your own version with your quotes. The budget planner gives the product side, and a startup budget calculator is on the way.

Common mistakes
  • Planning cash for the first order only, then having no money for the reorder deposit while the first stock still sells.
  • Reordering when the shelf looks empty instead of at the reorder point, which guarantees a stockout of several weeks.
  • Using the fast end of every lead time range and forgetting customs, receiving and holidays in Korea.
  • Counting a one-off viral spike as the normal weekly run rate and overbuying.
  • Buying a large run for the price break without checking shelf life and marketplace expiry rules.
  • Ignoring wholesale payment terms: a shop that pays in 60 days is cash you do not have yet.
  • Borrowing for the first run of an untested product.
  • Holding all stock in Amazon FBA in the fourth quarter, when storage fees are highest.
Checklist
  • A 13-week cash flow, updated every week
  • Cash for the first order, freight, duty, receiving and launch marketing, plus a buffer
  • Cash set aside for the first reorder deposit before you launch
  • Written lead times per step, with the slow end used for planning
  • Weekly sales per SKU and channel in units
  • Weeks of cover per SKU, checked every Monday
  • Safety stock and reorder point per SKU
  • Order quantities checked against shelf life and expiry rules
  • Korean holidays and your peak season marked in the calendar
  • Payout schedules of every sales channel written down
  • Label and packaging stock confirmed for the next run
  • A financing option compared on total repayment, if you need one

How KoreanOEM helps

Predictable timing is half of cash planning. We publish ours and keep the payment split fair.

  • 50% deposit, 50% before shipment, by bank wire in USD or KRW, never full prepayment before you approve a pre-production sample.
  • Low first runs: from 500 units for serums, creams, ampoules and essences, and 1,000 for toners and cleansers, so the first order does not take all your cash. See fees and minimums.
  • Published lead times and a production schedule in My page, so you can plan the reorder point with real dates.
  • Faster reorders with the same formula and packaging, and price breaks at 1,000, 3,000, 5,000 and 10,000 units when you are ready to scale.

Frequently asked questions

How much cash do I need for a first skincare order?
Plan for the full product order, freight, duty, customs broker and warehouse receiving, plus launch marketing and a buffer of several months of fixed costs. In our 13-week example for 1,000 units of one serum, $7,840 went out before the first payout arrived, and the reorder deposit made week 12 the lowest cash point.
What are normal payment terms with a skincare manufacturer?
A deposit at order and the balance before shipment is common. KoreanOEM takes a 50% deposit and 50% before shipment by bank wire in USD or KRW, and never asks for full payment before you approve a pre-production sample.
How do I calculate the reorder point for skincare?
Multiply average weekly sales by the reorder lead time in weeks, then add safety stock. At 90 units a week, a 7-week lead time and about 87 units of safety stock, the reorder point is 717 units, so you order when stock falls to that number.
How do I calculate safety stock?
A common formula is Z times the standard deviation of weekly demand times the square root of the lead time in weeks. With Z of 1.65 (about a 95% service level), weekly demand that swings by 20 units and a 7-week lead time, safety stock is about 87 units.
How long does a reorder from Korea take?
At KoreanOEM a reorder is faster than the first run because there is no development step: production takes up to about 4 to 5 weeks, QC and documents about 1 week, then 5 to 10 days by air or 4 to 6 weeks by sea. Plan about 6 to 7 weeks by air and 10 to 12 weeks by sea from approval to stock you can sell.
How many weeks of stock should a skincare brand hold?
Enough to cover your reorder lead time plus safety stock at all times, which for stock from Korea is usually 8 to 14 weeks of cover. Keep the total well within the product's shelf life and any marketplace expiry limits.
Is it better to order 500 or 1,000 units?
At KoreanOEM, 1,000 units cost about 1.6 times the cash of 500 because the unit price is about 20% lower. Choose 500 when demand is untested or you launch several SKUs, and 1,000 or more when you have steady sales data and can sell the units well within the shelf life.
How can I finance skincare inventory?
Common options are pre-orders, bank or government-backed small business loans, inventory financing, Shopify Capital, Amazon Lending through third-party lenders, and revenue-based financing. Compare the total you repay, and finance reorders of proven products rather than first runs.

Sources

Checked against these sources in October 2026. Rules and fees change; check with the authority or your importer before you sell.

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